Abstract:
To investigate the characteristics of various earthquake sequences, we fitted three aftershock sequences of the March 21, 2008
MS7.3 earthquake, the August 12, 2012
MS6.3 earthquake, and the February 12, 2014
MS7.3 earthquake respectively with the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model. We set a unified cutoff magnitude
Mc=
ML3.0 and adopted the maximum likelihood method to estimate the parameters
α, p and
b of these sequences with different duration times. It is observed that the
α, p and
b value are significantly different for the three earthquake sequences. The
α value of 2014
MS7.3 earthquake sequence is close to the 2012
MS6.3 earthquake sequence, and larger than that of the 2008
MS7.3 earthquake sequence; a smaller
p value of the 2014
MS7.3 earthquake sequence indicates that it has a slow decay rate of aftershocks compared with the other two sequences; the
b value of 2014
MS7.3 earthquake sequence is larger than the 2008
MS7.3 earthquake sequence, but smaller than the 2012
MS6.3 earthquake sequence. Moreover, the parameters of 2008
MS7.3 earthquake sequence change significantly within 20 days after the mainshock, while the
α and
p values of the 2014
MS7.3 earthquake sequence keep stable in the first 3.5 days.