基于深度学习地震检测的2022年门源MS6.9地震序列活动性分析

Seismic sequence activity of the 2022 Menyuan MS6.9 earthquake using deep learning-based detection

  • 摘要: 本研究收集了2022年1月8日青海省门源MS6.9地震震中200 km范围内,主震前129天至震后235天的高密度观测台网资料,利用基于深度学习模型的微震检测定位对此次地震的地震活动性进一步进行解剖。使用深度学习拾取模型DiTingPicker从连续原始地震波形数据中自动检测事件并拾取震相,然后利用REAL模型进行震相关联,再利用Hypoinverse和HypoDD程序分别进行绝对定位和相对定位,最终得到2021年9月1日到2022年8月31日的地震目录3 637条,检测到的地震数量为台网正式观测目录的两倍。地震在深度方向的投影显示:冷龙岭断裂和托莱山断裂倾角近乎垂直,大多数余震位于10—20 km的深度范围内。通过传染型余震序列模型(ETAS)对序列进行分析表明,此次门源地震无明显前震。同时,地震序列b值的时空分布显示,门源地区处于应力作用增强区域,其中冷龙岭断裂东侧和托莱山断裂西侧应力未完全释放,未来具有一定的强震危险性。

     

    Abstract:
    On January 8, 2022, the MS6.9 earthquake in Menyuan County, Qinghai Province stands as the largest and most destructive seismic event in the region in recent years. The earthquake originated at the junction of the Lenglongling and Tuolaishan faults, an area with complex tectonic structures. It occurred in a zone within a 200 km radius of the epicenter where both population and monitoring stations are sparse. This sparsity meant previous research has largely relied on earthquake catalogs derived from existing stations, leading to a lack of comprehensive and in-depth understanding of the region's fine-grained tectonic features and the intricate mechanisms underlying its seismic activity, thus necessitating further intensive research.
    This study compiled high-density monitoring network data within a 200 km radius of the MS6.9 Menyuan mainshock, spanning 129 days before to 235 days after the main event. Employing deep learning models, it conducted microseismic detection and location analysis to further dissect the earthquake. Using the DiTingPicker deep learning picking model, the study automatically detected seismic events and picked seismic phases from continuous raw seismic data. Subsequent phase association was performed via REAL, followed by absolute and relative location calculations using Hypoinverse and HypoDD, respectively. This process yielded an earthquake catalog with 3 637 entries covering September 1, 2021 to August 31, 2022, detecting twice as many earthquakes as the official monitoring network catalog.
    Depth projections of the earthquakes revealed that the Lenglongling and Tuolaishan faults have nearly vertical dips, with most aftershocks occurring at depths of 10−20 km. Analysis of the sequence using the epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model indicated no distinct foreshocks preceding the Menyuan earthquake. Additionally, the temporal and spatial distribution of b-values within the sequence suggested that the Menyuan area is under heightened stress conditions; stress remains incompletely released on the eastern side of the Lenglongling fault and the western side of the Tuolaishan fault, pointing to a certain potential for future strong earthquakes.

     

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