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Ma Lan, Cao Guangchao, Cao Shengkui. 2014: Spatio-temporal characteristics of strong earthquakes in Turkey since the year 1971. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 36(2): 244-251. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-3782.2014.02.009
Citation: Ma Lan, Cao Guangchao, Cao Shengkui. 2014: Spatio-temporal characteristics of strong earthquakes in Turkey since the year 1971. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 36(2): 244-251. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-3782.2014.02.009
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Spatio-temporal characteristics of strong earthquakes in Turkey since the year 1971

  • College of Life and Geography, Qinghai Normal University, Key Laboratory of Physical Geography and Environmental Process of Qinghai Province, Xining 810008, China

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  • Received Date: March 05, 2013
  • Revised Date: August 03, 2013
  • Published Date: February 28, 2014
    Graphical Abstract
    • Abstract
  • This paper analyzes and judges the future MS≥6.4 earthquakes in Turkey using the methods of commensurability information extraction and butterfly structure diagrams. The results show that strong signals will appear in 2015 and 2016, implying that the earthquake with MS≥6.4 would occur by that time. Moreover, the signals in 2015 is stronger than those in 2016. In addition, this paper finds that spatial migration of the epicenters in Turkey exhibits obvious symmetry and regularity. There is one migration from east to west and return every four years with zonal symmetry axis being 38.8°N and 37.4°E. From mentioned above it is deduced that MS≥6.4 earthquakes would occur on the eastern side of 37.4°E longitude and northern side of 38.8°N latitude, and future earthquakes maybe migrate towards NE direction.
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    • References (20)
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