旱涝变化用于川滇强震中期预报的统计研究

A STATISTICAL STUDY OF MEDIUM-RANGE PREDICTION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN SICHUAN AND YNNAN PROVINCES BY ATMOSPHERIC PRECIPITATION(DROUGHT AND FLOOD)

摘要: 根据强震与震中区年降雨量的相关分析, 将川、滇两省划分成6个强震活动区.由此, 通过一种迭代算法, 又分别导出了6个 M6的强震活动区和川、滇两省 M7的强震的中期预报方程.

Abstract: It is suugested to divide the Sichuan and Yunnan provinces into six strong seismieactiv regions based on the correlation analysis of strong earthquakes and annual amount of rainfall in the epicentral areas. Then, by means of a iterative method of computation, equations of medium range prediction for strong earthquakes, M 6 of the six regions and for earthquakes, M7 of both the Sichuan and Yunnan provinces.