Advanced Search
Fu G C，Pan H，Chen J，Zheng L F. 2023. Probability hazard analysis of potential earthquake-induced landslide：A case study of Longxian County， Shaanxi Province. Acta Seismologica Sinica，45（2）：341−355. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20210147
Citation: Fu G C，Pan H，Chen J，Zheng L F. 2023. Probability hazard analysis of potential earthquake-induced landslide：A case study of Longxian County， Shaanxi Province. Acta Seismologica Sinica，45（2）：341−355. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20210147
shu

Probability hazard analysis of potential earthquake-induced landslide：A case study of Longxian County， Shaanxi Province

  • 1.

    Institute of Geophysics，China Earthquake Administration，Beijng 100081，China

  • 2.

    Beijng Earthquake Agency，Beijng 100080，China

More Information
  • Received Date: September 07, 2021
  • Revised Date: November 18, 2021
  • Available Online: January 02, 2023
  • Published Date: March 14, 2023
    Graphical Abstract
    • Abstract
  • In this paper, the potential focal area division scheme of the Fifth Generation Seismic Parameter Zoning Map of China combined with the Newmark displacement model is adopted. And according to the engineering geological lithology and topographic elevation data of Longxian, the amplification effect of topography on ground motion and the uncertainty of parameters of Newmark model are also considered. Above all, the instability probability of landslide in Longxian county, Shaanxi Province is given on the condition that the earthquake incidence rate is 10% in 50 years. According to the results, potential earthquake-induced landslide in the study area can be divided into four grades: the very low risk area, the low risk areas, the medium risk areas and the high risk areas. And the high risk areas are mainly concentrated in the mudstone, siltstone and loess covered areas with a slope of more than 40° in Longxian. Among them, Qianhe river and some areas on both sides of Tongguanhe river have higher seismic landslide risk. The results can provide a reference for seismic landslide risk management and land planning in this area.
    • FullText(HTML)
    • References (59)
  • 陈庆宇,熊仁伟,田勤俭. 2018. 陇县—岐山—马召断裂几何结构特征[J]. 地震,38(3):66–80. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3274.2018.03.007
    Chen Q Y,Xiong R W,Tian Q J. 2018. Segmentary characteristics of the geometrical structure of the Longxian-Qishan-Mazhao active fault[J]. Earthquake,38(3):66–80 (in Chinese).
    杜兴信,张春生. 1992. 鄂尔多斯周缘地震带地震活动的分期和相关分析[J]. 地震研究,15(2):135–144.
    Du X X,Zhang C S. 1992. Period dividing and correlation analysis of seismicity in the seismic zones around the Erdos block[J]. Journal of Seismological Research,15(2):135–144 (in Chinese).
    国家技术监督局, 中华人民共和国建设部. 1995. GB 50218—94 工程岩体分级标准[S]. 北京: 中国计划出版社: 68−69.
    State Bureau of Quality and Technical Supervision, Ministry of Construction of the People’s Republic of China. 1995. GB 50218−94 Standard for Engineering Classification of Rock Masses[S]. Beijing: China Planning Press: 68−69 （in Chinese）.
    黄润秋,李为乐. 2009. 汶川地震触发崩塌滑坡数量及其密度特征分析[J]. 地质灾害与环境保护,20(3):1–7. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-4362.2009.03.001
    Huang R Q,Li W L. 2009. Analysis on the number and density of landslides triggered by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake,China[J]. Journal of Geological Hazards and Environment Preservation,20(3):1–7 (in Chinese).
    高孟潭. 2015. GB 18306—2015《中国地震动参数区划图》宣贯教材[M]. 北京: 中国质检出版社: 138−142.
    Gao M T. 2015. Teaching Book for GB18306−2015 Seismic Ground Motion Parameters Zonation Map of China[M]. Beijing: China Quality Inspection Press: 138−142 （in Chinese）.
    李雪婧,高孟潭,徐伟进. 2019. 基于Newmark模型的概率地震滑坡危险性分析方法研究:以甘肃天水地区为例[J]. 地震学报,41(6):795–807. doi: 10.11939/jass.20180075
    Li X J,Gao M T,Xu W J. 2019. Probabilistic seismic slope displacement hazard analysis based on Newmark displacement model:Take the area of Tianshui,Gansu Province,China as an example[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinica,41(6):795–807 (in Chinese).
    刘甲美. 2016. 概率地震滑坡危险性区划方法及应用[J]. 国际地震动态,(1):45–46.
    Liu J M. 2016. The method and application of probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for sliding displacement of slopes[J]. Recent Developments in World Seismology,(1):45–46 (in Chinese).
    刘甲美,高孟潭,吴树仁. 2016. 概率性地震滑坡危险性区划方法及其应用[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报,35(增刊1):3100–3110. doi: 10.13722/j.cnki.jrme.2015.0118
    Liu J M,Gao M T,Wu S R. 2016. Probabilistic seismic landslide hazard zonation method and its application[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,35(S1):3100–3110 (in Chinese).
    马思远,许冲,王涛,刘甲美. 2019. 应用2类Newmark简易模型进行2008年汶川地震滑坡评估[J]. 地震地质,41(3):774–788. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4967.2019.03.015
    Ma S Y,Xu C,Wang T,Liu J M. 2019. Application of two simplified Newmark models to the assessment of landslides triggered by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake[J]. Seismology and Geology,41(3):774–788 (in Chinese).
    潘华. 2002. 概率地震危险性分析中参数不确定性研究[J]. 国际地震动态,(2):16–17. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4975.2002.02.010
    Pan H. 2002. Study on uncertainty in parameters of probability seismic hazard analysis[J]. Recent Developments in World Seismology,(2):16–17 (in Chinese).
    孙军杰,王兰民,龙鹏伟,陈光齐. 2011. 地震与降雨耦合作用下区域滑坡灾害评价方法[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报,30(4):752–760.
    Sun J J,Wang L M,Long P W,Chen G Q. 2011. An assessment method for regional susceptibility of landslides under coupling condition of earthquake and rainfall[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,30(4):752–760 (in Chinese).
    王师迪,师亚芹,董云鹏. 2018. 青藏高原东北缘固关—虢镇断裂中段第四纪以来活动特征[J]. 地质科学,53(3):781–798. doi: 10.12017/dzkx.2018.044
    Wang S D,Shi Y Q,Dong Y P. 2018. The active characteristics in the Quaternary period of the middle Guguan-Guozhen fault,northeast margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J]. Chinese Journal of Geology,53(3):781–798 (in Chinese).
    王涛,吴树仁,石菊松,辛鹏. 2013. 基于简化Newmark位移模型的区域地震滑坡危险性快速评估:以汶川MS8.0级地震为例[J]. 工程地质学报,21(1):16–24. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9665.2013.01.003
    Wang T,Wu S R,Shi J S,Xin P. 2013. Case study on rapid assessment of regional seismic landslide hazard based on simplified Newmark displacement model:Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake[J]. Journal of Engineering Geology,21(1):16–24 (in Chinese).
    许冲,戴福初,徐锡伟. 2010. 汶川地震滑坡灾害研究综述[J]. 地质论评,56(6):860–874. doi: 10.16509/j.georeview.2010.06.017
    Xu C,Dai F C,Xu X W. 2010. Wenchuan earthquake-induced landslides:An overview[J]. Geological Review,56(6):860–874 (in Chinese).
    徐光兴,姚令侃,李朝红,王晓放. 2012. 基于汶川地震强震动记录的边坡永久位移预测模型[J]. 岩土工程学报,34(6):1131–1136.
    Xu G X,Yao L K,Li C H,Wang X F. 2012. Predictive models for permanent displacement of slopes based on recorded strong-motion data of Wenchuan earthquake[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering,34(6):1131–1136 (in Chinese).
    袁道阳,雷中生,刘小凤,刘百篪,才树华,郑文俊. 2004. 138年金城—陇西63/4级地震的史料考证与发震构造背景探讨[J]. 地震地质,26(1):52–60.
    Yuan D Y,Lei Z S,Liu X F,Liu B C,Cai S H,Zheng W J. 2004. Textual research on the historical data of the 138 AD Jincheng−Longxi M63/4 earthquake and discussion on its seismogenic structural background[J]. Seismology and Geology,26(1):52–60 (in Chinese).
    中华人民共和国住房和城乡建设部. 2015. GB/T 50218—2014 工程岩体分级标准[S]. 北京: 中国计划出版社: 12.
    Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of the People’s Republic of China. 2015. GB/T 50218−2014 Standard for Engineering Classification of Rock Masses[S]. Beijing: China Planning Press: 12 （in Chinese）.
    中华人民共和国建设部. 2009. GB 50021—2001 岩土工程勘察规范（2009年版）[S]. 北京: 中国建筑工业出版社: 136−140.
    Ministry of Construction of the People’s Republic of China. 2009. GB 50021−2001 Code for Investigation of Geotechnical Engi-neering （2009 Edition）[S]. Beijing: China Architecture & Building Press: 136−140 （in Chinese）.
    中华人民共和国住房和城乡建设部, 中华人民共和国国家质量监督检验检疫总局. 2016. GB 50011—2010 建筑抗震设计规范[S]. 北京: 中国建筑工业出版社: 19–21.
    Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of the People’s Republic of China, General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine of the People’s Republic of China. 2010. GB 50011—2010 Code for Seismic Design of Buildings[S]. Beijing: China Architecture & Building Press: 19–21 （in Chinese）.
    Ambraseys N N,Menu J M. 1988. Earthquake-induced ground displacements[J]. Earthq Eng Struct Dyn,16(7):985–1006.
    Cornell C A. 1968. Engineering seismic risk analysis[J]. Bull Seismol Soc Am,58(5):1583–1606. doi: 10.1785/BSSA0580051583
    Dreyfus D,Rathje E M,Jibson R W. 2013. The influence of different simplified sliding-block models and input parameters on regional predictions of seismic landslides triggered by the Northridge earthquake[J]. Eng Geol,163:41–54. doi: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2013.05.015
    Gallen S F,Clark M K,Godt J W,Roback K,Niemi N A. 2017. Application and evaluation of a rapid response earthquake-triggered landslide model to the 25 April 2015 MW7.8 Gorkha earthquake,Nepal[J]. Tectonophysics,714/715:173–187. doi: 10.1016/j.tecto.2016.10.031
    Godt J W, Sener B, Verdin K L, Wald D, Earle P. 2008. Rapid assessment of earthquake-induced landsliding[C]//Global Promotion Committee of the International Programme on Landslides (IPL). Tokyo: United Nations University: 463−468.
    Jibson R W,Keefer D K. 1993. Analysis of the seismic origin of landslides:Examples from the New Madrid seismic zone[J]. Geol Soc Am Bull,105(4):521–536.
    Jibson R W. 2007. Regression models for estimating coseismic landslide displacement[J]. Eng Geol,91(2/3/4):209–218.
    Jibson R W,Harp E L,Michael J A. 2000. A method for producing digital probabilistic seismic landslide hazard maps[J]. Eng Geol,58(3/4):271–289.
    Jibson R W, Michael J A. 2009. Maps Showing Seismic Landslide Hazards in Anchorage, Alaska[R]. Reston: Center for Integrated Data Analytics Wisconsin Science Center: 1−9.
    Keefer D K. 1984. Landslides caused by earthquakes[J]. Geol Soc Am Bull,95(4):406–421. doi: 10.1130/0016-7606(1984)95<406:LCBE>2.0.CO;2
    Liu J M,Gao M T,Wu S R,Wang T,Wu J. 2016. A hazard assessment method for potential earthquake induced landslides:A case study in huaxian county,shaanxi province[J]. Acta Geologica Sinica,90(2):14.
    Mankelow J M,Murphy W. 1998. Using GIS in the probabilistic assessment of earthquake triggered landslide hazards[J]. J Earthq Eng,2(4):593–623.
    Newmark N M. 1965. Effects of earthquakes on dams and embankments[J]. Géotechnique,15(2):139–160.
    Rathje E M, Saygili G. 2008. Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for the sliding displacement of slopes:Scalar and vector approaches[J]. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng,134(6):804–814.
    Rathje E M, Saygili G. 2009. Probabilistic assessment of earthquake-induced sliding displacements of natural slopes[J]. Bull N Z Soc Earthq,42(1):18–27.
    Refice A,Capolongo D. 2002. Probabilistic modeling of uncertainties in earthquake-induced landslide hazard assessment[J]. Comput Geosci,28(6):735–749. doi: 10.1016/S0098-3004(01)00104-2
    Urzúa A,Christian J T. 2013. Sliding displacements due to subduction-zone earthquakes[J]. Eng Geol,166:237–244. doi: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2013.08.005
    Wang Y B,Rathje E M. 2015. Probabilistic seismic landslide hazard maps including epistemic uncertainty[J]. Eng Geol,196:313–324. doi: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2015.08.001
    Wilson R C,Keefer D K. 1983. Dynamic analysis of a slope failure from the 6 August 1979 Coyote lake,California,earthquake[J]. Bull Seismol Soc Am,73(3):863–877. doi: 10.1785/BSSA0730030863
    Xu C,Xu X W,Dai F C,Saraf A K. 2012. Comparison of different models for susceptibility mapping of earthquake triggered landslides related with the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in China[J]. Comput Geosci,46:317–329. doi: 10.1016/j.cageo.2012.01.002
    Xu Y R,Allen M B,Zhang W H,Li W Q,He H L. 2020. Landslide characteristics in the Loess Plateau,northern China[J]. Geomorphology,359:107150. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2020.107150
    • Related Articles

  • Related Articles

    Ren Mengyi, Liu Zhe. 2022: Global sensitivity analysis of the generalized Pareto distribution model for seismicity in the northeast Tibetan. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 44(6): 1035-1048. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20210112
    Zhang Minzheng. 2022: Some thoughts on earthquake resistance and disaster prevention. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 44(5): 733-742. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20220088
    Chen Shuai, Miao Zelang, Wu Lixin. 2022: A method for seismic landslide hazard assessment using simplified Newmark displacement model based on modified strength parameters of rock mass. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 44(3): 512-527. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20210008
    Li Xuejing, Xu Weijin, Gao Mengtan. 2021: Characteristics of Arias intensity and Newmark displacement of strong ground motion in Lushan earthquake. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 43(6): 768-786. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20200180
    Li Xuejing, Gao Mengtan, Xu Weijin. 2019: Probabilistic seismic slope displacement hazard analysis based on Newmark displacement model：Take the area of Tianshui，Gansu Province，China as an example. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 41(6): 795-807. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20180075
    Li Xin, Chi Mingjie, Li Xiaojun. 2018: Rock-soil strength parameters of earthquake-triggered landslides based on simplified Newmark displacement model. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 40(6): 820-830. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20180026
    Li Changlong, Xu Weijin, Wu Jian, Gao Mengtan. 2015: Time-dependent probabilistic seismic hazard analysis methods and its applications based on characteristic earthquake models. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 37(6): 1024-1036. DOI: 10.11939/jass.2015.06.012
    Wang Xiuying, Wang Chengliang, Zhang Congcong. 2015: Analysis of correlation between ground motion parameters and earthquake disasters: A case study on earthquake- induced landslide hazard in Wenchuan earthquake area. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 37(2): 230-238. DOI: 10.11939/jass.2015.02.003
    Zhong QiuShi Baopingdivcom sh advance. 2012: Aftershock duration of the 1976 MS7.8 Tangshan earthquake and implication for seismic hazard estimation. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 34(4): 494-508.
    2004: 华东地区地电阻率各向异性度的地震前兆异常特征初步研究. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 26(2): 223-227.

  • Cited by

    Periodical cited type(1)

    1. 任正情，刘传奇，陈成名，朱丽，陈涛. 基于信息量和Newmark模型的地震地质灾害危险性评价——以安徽省六安市霍山县落儿岭地区为例. 安徽地质. 2023(04): 292-297 .

    Other cited types(2)

Catalog

    Get Citation
    PDF
    XML
    Article views (462) PDF downloads (168) Cited by(3)
    Turn off MathJax
    Article Contents
    Abstract
    References
    Related Articles

    Supported by: Beijing Renhe Information Technology Co., Ltd.   

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return