LU YUANZHONG, WANG WEI, SHEN JIANWENcom sh advance. 1983: SEISMIC GAPS AND IMMINENT EARTHQUAKES (CONTINUED). Acta Seismologica Sinica, 5(2): 129-144.
Citation: LU YUANZHONG, WANG WEI, SHEN JIANWENcom sh advance. 1983: SEISMIC GAPS AND IMMINENT EARTHQUAKES (CONTINUED). Acta Seismologica Sinica, 5(2): 129-144.

SEISMIC GAPS AND IMMINENT EARTHQUAKES (CONTINUED)

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  • Published Date: August 31, 2011
  • On the basis of a previous paper of the same title earthquakes of Mge;6 occurred during the period 1970-1980 and two earthquakes of M 7 of the 1960 's on the main land of China, are analysed. It is shown that the conclusions reached about '' background gaps, preparatory gaps and imminent earthquakes in the previous paper have general significance and thus it substantiates the results of the previous paper. The empirical -formula has been recomputed.Three criteria are proposed for the identification of preparatory gaps: 1) Along with the formation of a preparation gap, the seismic strain release should be accelerated in the gap area and its vicinity; 2) The ratio of earthquake frequencyoutside and inside the gap (k=N(out)+1/N(in)+1 ) should reach a maximum value during theprocess of its formation; 3) Some moderate earthquakes in the form of early fore-shocks would occur in the forthcoming epicentral area before the formation of the background gap. Besides, it is found there is a linear relation between Sigma;E1/3 and logarithm of the longer axis of a preparatory gap, where E is the energy release in the preparatory gap and its neighbouring region. The empirical formula obtained can be used as a time criterion of the occurrence of the imminent earthquake. Finally, the physical mechanism of imminent earthquakes and the dimension of the area of preparatory gaps are discussed.
  • [1] 陆远忠等,地震空区与逼近地震,地震学报,4, 4, 1982.

    [2] 中国科学院数学研究所数理统计组,回归分析方法,科学出版社,1975.

    [3] 刘正荣,早期前震与终止破裂点,地震战线,6, 1977.

    [4] 坪川家恒,地壳变动の继续时间と地震力规模との关系について,测地学会志,15, 1969.

    [5] C. H. Scholz, L. R. Sykes and Y. P. Aggarwal, Earthquake prediction: a physical basis, Science, 181,1973.

    [6] T. Rikitake, Earthquake precursors, B. S. S. A., 65, 1975.

    [7] J. H. Whitcomb, J. D. Garmany, D. L. Anderson, Earthquake prediction: Variation of seismic veloci——ties before the San Fernando Earthquake, Seience, 180, 4086, 1973.

    [8] 冯德益等,我国西部地区一些强震及中强震前后波速异常的初步研究(二)——一波速异常区及其特性,地球物理学报,20, 2, 1977.

    [9] J. R. Rice, Theoty of precursory processes in the inception of earthquake rupture, Gerlands Beitr. Geophysik, Leipzig 88, 2,,.91——127, 1979.

    [10] 西南地震烈度队,强弱地震的时空强关系,地震战线,3, 1973.

    [11] 吴开统等,海城地震序列的特征,地球物理学报,19, 2, 1976.

    [12] 邓起东等,中国地震烈度区划图编制的原则和方法,地震学报,2, 1, 1980.

    [13] 郭增建等,震源物理,地震出版社,1979,

    [1] 陆远忠等,地震空区与逼近地震,地震学报,4, 4, 1982.

    [2] 中国科学院数学研究所数理统计组,回归分析方法,科学出版社,1975.

    [3] 刘正荣,早期前震与终止破裂点,地震战线,6, 1977.

    [4] 坪川家恒,地壳变动の继续时间と地震力规模との关系について,测地学会志,15, 1969.

    [5] C. H. Scholz, L. R. Sykes and Y. P. Aggarwal, Earthquake prediction: a physical basis, Science, 181,1973.

    [6] T. Rikitake, Earthquake precursors, B. S. S. A., 65, 1975.

    [7] J. H. Whitcomb, J. D. Garmany, D. L. Anderson, Earthquake prediction: Variation of seismic veloci——ties before the San Fernando Earthquake, Seience, 180, 4086, 1973.

    [8] 冯德益等,我国西部地区一些强震及中强震前后波速异常的初步研究(二)——一波速异常区及其特性,地球物理学报,20, 2, 1977.

    [9] J. R. Rice, Theoty of precursory processes in the inception of earthquake rupture, Gerlands Beitr. Geophysik, Leipzig 88, 2,,.91——127, 1979.

    [10] 西南地震烈度队,强弱地震的时空强关系,地震战线,3, 1973.

    [11] 吴开统等,海城地震序列的特征,地球物理学报,19, 2, 1976.

    [12] 邓起东等,中国地震烈度区划图编制的原则和方法,地震学报,2, 1, 1980.

    [13] 郭增建等,震源物理,地震出版社,1979,

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